영천시장 여론조사…시민 61.5% “새 인물 당선이 바람직”현직 시장 피로도 61.5%, ‘인물 교체’ 열망이 ‘현상 유지’ 압도 국힘 김병삼 약진
【브레이크뉴스 경북】이성현 기자=보수 성향이 강한 경북 영천에서 실시된 영천시장 후보 선호도 여론조사에서 시민 다수가 ‘새로운 인물 당선’을 선호한다는 결과가 나왔다.
브레이크뉴스 대구경북이 여론조사 전문기관 조원씨앤아이에 의뢰해 실시한 조사에서 영천 시민의 61.5%는 “새로운 인물이 당선되는 것이 좋다”고 응답했다. 반면 “현 시장이 한 번 더 당선되는 것이 좋다”는 응답은 34.3%로 나타났고, 모름 또는 무응답은 4.2%였다.
전체 후보 선호도 조사에서는 무소속 최기문 현 시장 31.1%, 국민의힘 김병삼 예비후보 28.5%, 국민의힘 김섭 예비후보 20.6%, 더불어민주당 이정훈 예비후보 10.3%로 나타났다. 그 외 인물 1.3%, 지지 후보 없음 4.3%, 모름·무응답은 3.9%였다.
국민의힘 후보 두 명을 대상으로 한 선호도 조사에서는 김병삼 예비후보 37.1%, 김섭 예비후보 29.3%로 집계됐다. 지지 후보 없음은 23.4%, 모름·무응답은 10.2%였다.
정당 지지도 조사에서는 국민의힘 60.4%, 더불어민주당 20.9%로 나타났다. 이어 조국혁신당 1.0%, 개혁신당 1.0%, 진보당 0.2%, 기타 정당 2.2%였으며, 지지 정당 없음 13.1%, 모름·무응답은 1.1%였다.
이번 조사는 브레이크뉴스 대구경북 의뢰로 조원씨앤아이가 2026년 3월 7일부터 8일까지 이틀간 경상북도 영천시에 거주하는 만 18세 이상 남녀를 대상으로 실시됐다. 조사 방식은 휴대전화 가상번호를 활용한 ARS 조사(100%)이며 성별·연령대·지역별 비례할당 무작위 추출 방식으로 진행됐다.
표본 수는 501명(총 통화시도 4,024명, 응답률 12.5%)이며 표본오차는 95% 신뢰수준에서 ±4.4%p다. 가중치는 성별·연령별·지역별 인구 비례에 따라 부여했다. 자세한 내용은 중앙선거여론조사심의위원회 홈페이지에서 확인할 수 있다.
<구글 번역으로 번역한 영문 기사의 전문 입니다. 번역에 오류가 있을 수 있음을 밝힙니다.>
【Break News Gyeongbuk】Reporter Lee Seong-hyeon = Public sentiment in Yeongcheon, a conservative stronghold in Gyeongbuk, is unusual. A recent poll on Yeongcheon mayoral candidates summarizes the results as a "harsh assessment of the incumbent" amid a push for "change." Amidst the People Power Party's momentum, which boasts over 60% approval ratings, analysis suggests that the incumbent mayor, Choi Ki-moon, who is seeking a third term as an independent, is experiencing unprecedented turmoil.
A noteworthy aspect of this poll is the level of fatigue with the incumbent mayor. Contrary to initial expectations, 61.5% of Yeongcheon residents responded that they "would prefer a new candidate to be elected." Conversely, only 34.3% supported the incumbent's reappointment.
The nearly double gap in support for a "replacement" is attributed to a combination of concerns about the privatization of power through a third term and the dynamism of the desire for a new Yeongcheon. Some analysts suggest that the incumbent premium of Mayor Choi Ki-moon, previously considered relatively safe, is shifting to "incumbent risk."
According to a poll commissioned by Daegu-Gyeongbuk Province and conducted by Chowon C&I, a polling firm, incumbent Choi Ki-moon received 31.1% of the votes in the overall candidate preference survey, a higher approval rating than other candidates.
However, People Power Party preliminary candidate Kim Byung-sam followed with 28.5%, within the margin of error (2.6 percentage points). Kim Seop, also of the People Power Party, also received a relatively high approval rating of 20.6%, though outside the margin of error. Lee Jung-hoon of the Democratic Party of Korea followed with 10.3%, followed by "others" with 1.3%, "no" with 4.3%, and those who answered "don't know" with 3.9%.
The poll focused solely on the People Power Party candidates, with a preference rate of 3.9%. Preliminary candidate Kim Byung-sam received 37.1% of the vote, surpassing Kim Seop's 29.3% by a margin of error. 23.4% said they had no opinion, and 10.2% said they were unsure.
When asked about the incumbent mayor's third term, 61.5% of residents said they would prefer a new candidate to be elected. Conversely, 34.3% said they would prefer the current mayor to be re-elected. Only 4.2% said they were unsure.
In this survey, the Democratic Party received 20.9% of the vote, while the People Power Party received 60.4%, demonstrating a significant lead. Other party support included the Fatherland Innovation Party (1.0%), the Progressive Party (0.2%), the New Reform Party (1.0%), and other parties (2.2%). 13.1% said they had no opinion, and 1.1% were unsure.
A Chowon C&I official stated, "Two facts confirmed by this survey are that the conservative camp's overall share of the vote is overwhelming the incumbent mayor, who is an independent. Second, in the two-way race between the People Power Party candidates, candidate Kim Byung-sam has emerged as the central axis of the 'conservative unification,' beating candidate Kim Seop by a margin of error." They added, "With Kim Byung-sam chasing, Choi Ki-moon holding his ground, and Kim Seop calling for innovation, Yeongcheon's spring will be a more heated and intense 'judgment of public sentiment' than ever before." Meanwhile, this survey is the result of an ARS opinion poll (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, randomly selected with proportional allocation by gender, age group, and region) conducted by Chowon C&I for two days from March 7 to 8, 2026, commissioned by Break News Daegu Gyeongbuk, targeting men and women aged 18 and older residing in Yeongcheon-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do. The sample size was 501 (4,024 total call attempts, response rate 12.5%), and the sampling error is ±4.4%p at a 95% confidence level. ※ Weighting method: Weighting by gender, age, and region (based on the resident registration population announced by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety at the end of February 2026)
<저작권자 ⓒ 브레이크뉴스 대구경북 무단전재 및 재배포 금지>
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